Siena 
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 81.8873
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 10- 6
213 A Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 13-11
221 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 20- 3
225 H Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 12-10
228 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 10- 8
304 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 5-11
307 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 7-10
311 A Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 6- 7
321 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 7-11
325 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 15- 3
328 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 4-10
401 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 10-11
404 H Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 12- 2
408 A Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 11- 8
411 H Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 13- 6
418 A Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 19- 4
426 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 9- 8
501 N Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 18- 8
503 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Hofstra 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.30
213 A Binghamton 13-11 2 1 1.49
221 H Fairleigh Dickinson 20- 3 17 11 + 3.15
225 H Vermont 12-10 2 0 1.98
228 A Massachusetts-Lowell 10- 8 2 1 0.66
304 H Villanova 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.78
307 A Le Moyne 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.47
311 A Rhode Island 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.07
321 A Fairfield 7-11 -4 -4 0.17
325 H Merrimack 15- 3 12 9 + 3.08
328 A Niagara 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.17
401 H Mount St Marys 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61
404 H Sacred Heart 12- 2 10 8 1.52
408 A Marist 11- 8 3 3 -0.03
411 H Iona 13- 6 7 10 - -3.42
418 A Manhattan 19- 4 15 9 ++ 5.47
426 A Mount St Marys 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.12
501 N Niagara 18- 8 10 4 +++ 6.46
503 A Fairfield 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Le Moyne 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.47
328 A Niagara 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.17
503 A Fairfield 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.83
304 H Villanova 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.78
311 A Rhode Island 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.07
401 H Mount St Marys 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61
411 H Iona 13- 6 7 10 - -3.42
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
501 N Niagara 18- 8 10 4 +++ 6.46
206 H Hofstra 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.30
418 A Manhattan 19- 4 15 9 ++ 5.47
221 H Fairleigh Dickinson 20- 3 17 11 + 3.15
325 H Merrimack 15- 3 12 9 + 3.08
426 A Mount St Marys 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.12
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 10- 6 -15.34 24.83 -1.37 0.91 42.78
3 A Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 13-11 -19.89 20.27 1.37 0.91 39.46
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 20- 3 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 0.91 20.61
3 H Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 12-10 -16.66 23.51 -1.37 0.91 40.37
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 10- 8 -20.72 19.44 1.37 0.91 37.95
3 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 5-11 -13.43 26.74 -1.37 0.91 -6.74
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 7-10 -22.86 17.31 1.37 0.91 -9.80
3 A Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 6- 7 -21.45 18.72 1.37 0.91 -9.15
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 7-11 -15.21 24.95 1.37 0.91 -6.31
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 15- 3 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 0.91 24.14
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 4-10 -21.55 18.62 1.37 0.91 -9.20
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 10-11 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 0.91 -8.95
3 H Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 12- 2 -25.13 15.04 -1.37 0.91 24.93
3 A Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 11- 8 -22.41 17.76 1.37 0.91 34.87
3 H Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 13- 6 -27.07 13.10 -1.37 0.91 21.40
3 A Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 19- 4 -27.91 12.26 1.37 0.91 24.84
3 A Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 9- 8 -18.26 21.91 1.37 0.91 42.44
3 N Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 18- 8 -21.55 18.62 -0.00 0.91 33.95
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 4-13 -15.21 24.95 1.37 0.91 -6.31
------
331.28
|
winning pts = 387.7412 losing points = -56.4662
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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